Analysis by Zoltán Egeresi
The current analysis describes the path to the elections in Bulgaria on 11 July, 2021, as well as their outcome. It argues that the political stalemate after the April elections can be overcome by the new election results. In July a recently founded party, There Is Such A People (ITN), led by late-night showman Slavi Trifonov, was able to overtake Boyko Borisov’s party, which has not been achieved by any other politician for 12 years. Nevertheless, Trifonov’s party will not be able to form a government alone without forming a coalition with other parties because it is far from a majority in parliament. Without a coalition,there is high probability for lasting political instability in Bulgaria. According to the pessimistic scenario, snap elections will be held along with the presidential elections in mid-autumn of 2021.
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